Trump Predictions – How am I doing so far?

At the end of November 2016, I made some predictions. Let’s see how I did:

  1. Short term measures to boost the economy. Hitler did this by going into massive government spending on the military. Since the USA already HAS the largest military and budget, he will probably have to come up with some other public works to provide this boost. Expect massive infrastructure projects, they will be riddled with corruption, but that’s a good thing, from Trump’s perspective. Corrupt officials are *owned* officials and putting money into his own pockets and the pockets of his buddies will make them more loyal.

Verdict: 50/50

Trump has, indeed, made a PROPOSAL to increase Military spending, despite my belief that the US military is already ridiculously bloated. Infrastructure projects? Nope. Corruption, oh yes, and more every day. He’s literally making money by making the government rent property from him.

2. Hitler’s generals tried to assassinate him, several times, because they understood what a monster he was. So, President Trump will need to get rid of or replace any military leaders who disagree with him or are not loyal enough. He has to solidify his power base and getting rid of the only power that could directly oppose him (who have sworn to uphold the constitution that he will shortly be tearing into little pieces) is high on his list.

Verdict: Bingo!

Firing the head of the FBI for investigating his (and his election’s) ties to Russia. Not filling hundreds (literally, HUNDREDS) of functional positions in federal departments. Forcing goddamn LOYALTY OATHS on national television. Called it.

3. Hitler had to burn down his parliament to cut out that opposition to his power base. Trump has an advantage here because Congress is already ineffectual and he will get to appoint 1 to 3 Supreme Court Justices, these won’t even be a speed bump for him. As an act, President Trump will appoint ineffectual or personally loyal people to law enforcement positions.

Verdict: Smell that? That’s Accuracy.

4. Be a rock star. Hitler was glowingly portrayed in news articles around the world before the start of WWII, there was a lot of support for him in the USA as well. Hitler hired amazing fashion designers (Hugo Boss) to create the uniforms of his SS, commissioned cool affordable cars (the Volkswagen), and staged huge public spectacles (Nazi rallies and the Olympic Games, not that these are synonymous). Trump is already all geared up for this, his rallies and performances are going to be huuuuuge. He just needs to keep 51% of the white, mostly poor, populace entertained, something he has proven very capable of doing. Expect a lot of spectacle and braggadocio.

Verdict: Trump is less cool than Hitler

I thought Trump would be better at keeping up the act, but there have been reports of him getting pissed off at the news and screaming at people like a petulant child. Trump isn’t cool, on any level. I missed this one.

5. As a budding supreme leader, he needs to get a handle on the media and make those nay-sayers and critics shut up. The USA already has some experience here, they just need to reinstate some of the machinery put in place for the cold war like the House Un-American Activities Committee (HUAC) and rampant internal spying by the FBI against ‘enemies of the state’. [Newt Gingrich has already started the process on starting up the HUAC again.] Also, he needs to threaten journalists with lawsuits and prison for disagreeing with him. [also, already started]

Verdict: Meh.

I didn’t see the whole ‘fake news’ thing coming, or Kellyanne Conway. Just didn’t see that direction at all. Just straight up not holding White house briefings is just so over the top. And the Twitter, what an embarrassing shit storm that turned out to be. Missed this one, I thought he would be smarter than this. I didn’t think Trump was just straight up stupid, but I was wrong.

6. Ramp up the fear factor, people who are scared will give up their freedom for some extra (perceived) security. Hitler did it with the “international jewish conspiracy” and the communists. Trump will do it with Muslims and terrorism.

Verdict: He tried.

He is trying, really hard, but it turns out that he is so bad at diplomacy that he is making new and fresh enemies all over the place. So, he is striking out with his angle on terrorism, but he is winning when it comes to our deteriorating relationship with the rest of the world.

7. He will need to be selective in who he targets. Trump will need to make sure he only targets minorities, he will focus on non-Christians that’s the only explanation for selecting someone like Mike Pence to be his VP. He will need to make sure that anything bad that happens gets pinned on one of those groups and make sure that they are portrayed as evil at every turn.

Verdict: A MISS.

None of this happened.

8. Trump will surround himself with people who agree with him and are loyal to him, personally. He has promised to ‘drain the swamp’ of Washington, D.C. but any rational observer sees that his cabinet appointments are straight up alligators and water snakes. His selection criteria has nothing to do with ‘good for the country’ or ‘good at the job’, the only thing that matters to Trump is Personal Loyalty, you know, like a demagogue. If he stays true to form, Trump’s crimes will make the Teapot Dome scandal look like a stolen Snickers bar.

Verdict: BING BING BING!

The opposition to Trump has to get off of the sexism and racism angle, those don’t matter to his power base. They should have attacked his criminal behavior and incompetence.

More true than I realized

The biggest (unpublished) prediction I made was that I really thought (hoped) that impeachment proceedings would have started in June 2017. He’s done enough to BE impeached, but I have no hope for the end of my country’s continuing embarrassment.

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